Procedura near real-time per la valutazione dell’hazard da eruzioni laterali all’Etna (Sicilia, Italia)

Alfonso Brancato, Flavio Cannavò, Carmelo Cassisi, Mauro Coltelli, Mario Mattia, Placido Montalto, Domenico Patanè, Cristina Proietti, Danila Scandura
Immagine di copertina del volume 144
Mt. Etna is a composite stratovolcano located along the Ionian coast of the Sicily. The frequent flank eruptions (mostly along the NE, S and W rift zones) lead to a high volcanic hazard that is getting worse by the intense urbanization on the flanks of the volcano. In the framework of the project PON SIGMA (Integrated Cloud-Sensor System for Advanced Multirisk Management), we developed a completely automatized computer-assisted analysis that evaluate in near real-time the areas prone to the highest vent opening probability and the corresponding hazard related to effusive eruptions. The Bayesian Event Tree_Eruption Forecasting (BET_EF) algorithm is firstly used to evaluate a long-term hazard map based on the last 4.0 ka flank effusive activity. The analysis and inversion of real time...

Published: 2021-09-28